Monthly MLS® market statistics for Bay Bulls, Witless Bay, Mobile, Tors Cove, and the Southern Shore — the scenic coastal communities south of St. John's along the Irish Loop.
Source: NLAR MLS® System · NLAR Districts SS46 (Bay Bulls-Mobile) + SS47 (Tors Cove-Ferryland)
The total number of homes that closed during this period. More sales generally indicate a healthier, more active market.
These arrows compare this year to the same period last year. The comparison uses the exact same calendar window (e.g., Jan 1 – May 30 both years) so the comparison is fair.
Average sale price and total residential sales from 2024 through early 2026.
| Year | Avg Sale Price | Sales | Price Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $285,157 | 62 | — |
| 2025 | $333,477 | 82 | +16.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $318,989 | 23 | -4.3% |
How the market has evolved over nearly a decade. Long-term trends matter more than any single year — look for the direction, not the individual number.
Month-by-month comparison across all key metrics for Bay Bulls & Southern Shore.
Seasonal patterns in the market. In St. John's, the busiest months are typically April–September (spring/summer listing season). Winter months are slower. Knowing this helps time your listing or purchase.
The Bay Bulls & Southern Shore data tells a clear and consistent story: homes that sell in their first few weeks achieve sale-to-ask ratios at or near 101.3%. By six weeks and beyond, properties that haven't sold are closing at roughly 82.7% of their last asking price.
That's a difference of about 18.6 percentage points. On a $400,000 home, that's approximately $75,000 left on the table.
Overpricing doesn't delay the sale — it actively reduces what you walk away with. Homes that sit accumulate days on market, which signals to buyers that something is wrong and invites lower offers.
The right price from day one isn't pessimism — it's the strategy that produces the highest final return. This is what the Bay Bulls & Southern Shore data shows, updated every month.
| Time on Market | Avg S/A Ratio | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 97.86% | Still solid |
| Week 2 | 101.35% | Best possible |
| Week 3 | 100.74% | Best possible |
| Week 4 | 97.24% | Softening |
| Week 5 | 99.45% | Strong |
| Week 6 | 95.47% | Erosion begins |
| Week 7 | 92.28% | Significant loss |
| Week 8 | 97.03% | Softening |
| Week 9 | 97.51% | Still solid |
| Week 10 | 90.48% | Significant loss |
| Week 11 | 82.72% | Significant loss |
| Week 12 | 95.82% | Erosion begins |
| Week 13+ | 91.18% | Significant loss |
On a $400,000 home, the difference between selling fast and letting it sit is approximately $75,000. Correct pricing from day one is the single most important factor in maximizing your return.
Listings that have been on market six weeks or more are your strongest negotiating position — the data shows these sellers close roughly 19%+ below asking on average.
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